Oil/War/Economy
Is the financial crisis continuing to claim large companies?
The Economist, November 2, 2009The most gut-wrenching failures may be over, but the financial crisis continues to claim the occasional big victim; CIT bankruptcy pain will be widely felt . . .more...
Is the threat of heightened global unrest escalating next week?
The Economist, September 27, 2009America has threatened “crippling sanctions” against Iran if high-level, multi-nation talks on curtailing Iran’s nuclear program, starting this week in Geneva, collapse . . .more...
With silver outperforming gold recently, could some believe the recession is over?
Financial Times, by Krishna Guha & Sarah O’Connor, September 15, 2009Many economists believe that consumer spending will be constrained for months by households’ limited access to credit and their desire to reduce their debts . . .more...
Is a crisis in commercial real estate looming?
Bloomberg, by Scott Lanman, August 10, 2009Fed may be forced to leave emergency-lending programs in place and keep its benchmark interest rate close to zero for longer than some investors expect . . .more...
U.S. Recession: Is this the beginning of the end . . . or the end of the beginning?
Bloomberg, by Bob Willis, July 27, 2009Consumer spending, accounting for 70 percent of the economy, may be slow to recover as unemployment to keep rising and home values to fall further . . .more...
Have Fed and Treasury actions helped or hurt the economy and health of the dollar?
Bloomberg, by Rebecca Christie & Peter Cook, July 16, 2009Geithner’s remarks reflect an economy that’s showing signs of pulling out of its deepest recession in half a century, but with little momentum for a recovery . . .more...
Why have gold bullion prices been strong?
Financial Times, by Chris Flood, June 5, 2009All the ingredients in place for a bull run in gold; the dollar is beginning to wobble, US Treasuries are under pressure and inflation is set to rise . . .more...
Is there inflation?
Financial Times, by Javier Blas, May 29, 2009Oil prices, up 48.8% so far this year, rose above $66 a barrel on Friday, setting a fresh six-month high and heading for their biggest monthly gain in more than 10 years . . .more...
Does the world recognize problems ahead for business in America?
The Economist, May 28, 2009Reckless lending by American financiers produced a crisis that has pushed the world into its worst recession since the 1930s; tales of greed and fraud during the boom abound . . .more...
Will improved consumer confidence buoy commodity prices?
Reuters, by Jane Merriman, May 26, 2009Oil has nearly doubled in price since December, buoyed partly by expectations of increased demand if the world economy recovers . . .more...
Will the monetary stimulus campaign result in higher commodity prices?
Financial Times, by Chris Flood & Javier Blas, May 12, 2009Oil’s recent price strength not based on fundamentals, but on financial flows; investors’ appetite for commodities “better entrenched, more sustainable” than earlier this year…more...
Will the monetary stimulus campaign result in higher commodity prices?
Financial Times, by Chris Flood & Javier Blas, May 12, 2009Oil’s recent price strength not based on fundamentals, but on financial flows; investors’ appetite for commodities “better entrenched, more sustainable” than earlier this year…more...
What is the outlook for oil and inflation?
Barron's, by Jack Willoughby, April 27, 2009Price of oil rising to $100 a barrel as a worldwide economic recovery spurs inflation and the Fed attempts to mop up all the liquidity it has pumped into the system . . .more...
Do economic conditions suggest that the Fed will step up stimulus even further?
The Wall Street Journal, by Brian Blackstone, April 2, 2009U.S. has lost 4.4 million jobs since the recession started in late 2007; new claims for state unemployment benefits jumped last week to a 26-year high . . .more...
Is oil on the rise?
Bloomberg, by Mark Shenk, March 31, 2009Crude Oil heading for its biggest monthly gain in almost a year, as equities increased and a weaker dollar enhanced the appeal of commodities . . .more...
Is oil on the rise?
Bloomberg, by Mark Shenk, March 31, 2009Crude Oil heading for its biggest monthly gain in almost a year, as equities increased and a weaker dollar enhanced the appeal of commodities . . .more...
Will OPEC cut oil production?
Forbes, by Lionel Laurent, March 16, 2009The 12-member OPEC cartel burnished its credibility over the weekend by deciding not to cut production quotas, despite pressure from some members . . .more...
Will central banks furiously devalue their currencies to compete for exports and jobs?
Financial Times, by Frances Williams, January 28, 2009As world economic crisis deepens, recorded unemployment could rise by more than 50 million by end 2009, with half the global labor force unemployed or working poor . . .more...
Will central banks furiously devalue their currencies to compete for exports and jobs?
Financial Times, by Frances Williams, January 28, 2009As world economic crisis deepens, recorded unemployment could rise by more than 50 million by end 2009, with half the global labor force unemployed or working poor . . .more...
Will geopolitical instability and terrorist conflict take a turn for the worse?
The New York Times, by Alan Cowell and Graham Bowley, January 14, 2009New message from bin Laden says there is only one strong way to bring the return of Al Aqsa and Palestine, and that is jihad in the path of God . . .more...
Will the first bailout budget run out quickly?
Reuters, by David Lawder, December 19, 2008Paulson said on Friday that first $350 billion of the TARP funds was effectively exhausted; now calling on Congress for a second $350 billion tranche of bailout funds . . .more...
Is the present financial crisis a global concern like the economy after the 9-11-2001 attacks?
Financial Times, by Ed Crooks and Norma Cohen, October 8, 2008World’s central banks cut interest rates on Wednesday, in response to mounting fears about the impact of the financial crisis on the world economy . . .more...
Why could over $60 trillion in credit derivatives turn this financial crisis into market mayhem?
The Economist, September 23, 2008The risk of being blamed for plunging the world’s greatest economy into financial ruin is a good incentive for all sides to reach a compromise . . .more...
Will the US financial crisis grow to engulf foreign central banks?
Financial Times, by Francesco Guerrera, Krishna Guha and Greg Farrell, September 15, 2008Lehman Bros., BofA, Merrill Lynch moves capped a weekend of high drama that could lead to one of the most radical reshapings in Wall Street history . . .more...
Why has the price of oil retraced recently?
Financial Times, by Javier Blas & Carola Hoyos, September 2, 2008The slide in oil prices could be short-lived in the light of Iran stepping up efforts to persuade fellow Opec members to cut output when they meet in Vienna . . .more...
Will crude oil prices be supported at current levels?
Bloomberg.com, by Grant Smith and Christian Schmollinger, August 27, 2008The threat of storms like Gustav will prevent oil prices falling further; experts see the market supported above $110 until the end of the hurricane season . . .more...
Is our “faith-based” Dollar now doomed to fail?
Texas Straight Talk, by Congressman Ron Paul, July 21, 2008Every dollar created and spent by government makes the dollars in your pocket worth less and less, and will eventually be debased to worthlessness . . .more...
Could up to 300 more banks fail as a result of the worsening debt crisis?
Reuters, by Jonathan Stempel, July 13, 2008Hundreds of banks with soured loans face pressure as credit losses once concentrated in subprime mortgages spread to other home loans and debt once-thought safe . . .more...
Would bailouts of Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac put even more pressure on the U.S. Dollar?
CNNMoney, by Katie Benner, July 10, 2008S&P: A government bailout of Fannie or Freddie could cost taxpayers $1 trillion and force the agency to lower its rating on the creditworthiness of the United States . . .more...
Would bailouts of Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac put even more pressure on the U.S. Dollar?
CNNMoney, by Katie Benner, July 10, 2008S&P: A government bailout of Fannie or Freddie could cost taxpayers $1 trillion and force the agency to lower its rating on the creditworthiness of the United States . . .more...
Would bailouts of Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac put even more pressure on the Dollar?
CNNMoney, by Katie Benner, July 10, 2008S&P: A government bailout of Fannie or Freddie could cost taxpayers $1 trillion and force the agency to lower its rating on the creditworthiness of the United States . . .more...
What does the world’s richest investor see up ahead for the US economy?
Bloomberg, by Josh P. Hamilton and Erik Holm, June 25, 2008Warren Buffett today on Bloomberg Television: “I think the ‘flation’ part will heat up and I think the ‘stag’ part will get worse . . .”more...
Will inflation from the dollar's devaluation prompt political posturing?
Bloomberg, by Roger Runningen & Nadine Elsibai, June 18, 2008Bush called on Congress to lift a 27-year-old moratorium on offshore oil and gas drilling, putting himself in the middle of an election-year debate over U.S. energy policy . .more...
Are the consequences of Middle East extremists unavoidable?
Bloomberg, by Catherine Dodge & Edwin Chen, June 11, 2008Iran ignored demands to stop producing nuclear fuel and blocked inspectors; US and EU want tighter sanctions to keep Iranian banks from funding terrorism . . .more...
Why is the Federal Reserve’s manufacturing of fiat money the true cause of high oil prices?
Texas Straight Talk, by Congressman Ron Paul, June 9, 2008When the Fed inflates the dollar as drastically as it has, this causes certain sectors to expand beyond what would naturally occur in the free market . . .more...
Will oil prices increase further?
Financial Times, by Sarah O'Connor, May 20, 2008Latest jump in prices came as T. Boone Pickens, the legendary US investor, predicted crude would reach $150 a barrel this year . . .more...
Is gold a better economic barometer than the actions of the world’s central banks?
Forbes magazine, by Steve Forbes, May 5, 2008The consequences of central banks' trying to guide their economies are routinely disruptive, if not destructive. Inflation is almost always the result . . .more...
Will Democrats taking power feed the oil inflation spiral?
Investor's Business Daily, April 23, 2008Democrats’ energy policy and their actual record while in control of Congress in the last year and a half has been nothing short of disastrous . . .more...
Will the suspect Dollar lend price support for oil and gold?
AP, by George Jahn, March 15, 2008The recent run above $100 a barrel has been largely attributed to a steadily depreciating U.S. currency and investors seeking a safe haven in hard commodities . . .more...
Are higher oil prices on the horizon?
The Wall Street Journal, by Hyun Young Lee, April 7, 2008If oil manages to breach $109 a barrel, the minimum and likely maximum upside target zone for a major multi-year peak becomes the $112 and $120 area . . .more...
How bad will things get?
The Economist, March 27, 2008The recent rise in corporate bankruptcies in America may be sign of much worse to come; most forecasters expect it to rise sharply over the coming months . . .more...
Will worsening economic conditions and the war in Iraq bring about monetary easing?
The Economist, March 16, 2008Further Fed action is expected in response to fresh signs of fragility in the American economy and the worsening state of global financial markets . . .more...
Will a stagflation epidemic push stocks into a bear market?
Barron's, by Kopin Tan, March 10, 2008With economy in decline and lenders in recoil, stocks fell to their lowest level in more than 18 months and now stand on the brink of a bear market . . .more...
Is the housing bubble crisis furthering stagflation?
Texas Straight Talk, by Presidential Candidate Ron Paul, March 3, 2008Inflation is up, food is up, oil and gold are up, foreclosures are up, unemployment is up, government spending at record highs; the only thing down is the value of the dollar . . .more...
Is there confidence that the weakening economy and the Dollar's decline will be reversed?
Reuters, by Atul Prakash, February 15, 2008The dollar fell against the euro on Friday after a gauge of consumer sentiment plunged to its lowest level since 1992 . . .more...
Will we now see a commercial real estate market collapse?
Financial Times, by Daniel Pimlott and Gillian Tett, February 5, 2008There is a growing risk of defaults on loans on commercial property this year, in a trend that could spill over into tumbling values and create more . . .more...
Will the Fed have to use monetary inflation to deal with an economic crisis?
Reuters, by Jennifer Ablan, January 23, 2008The Fed's huge emergency rate cut did little to allay fears of a brewing U.S. recession . . .more...
Will the New Year bring three-figure oil prices?
CNNMoney, January 2, 2008Oil prices kicked off 2008 by hitting a new high of $100 a barrel Wednesday . . .more...
How could the Pakistani political crisis impact the U.S. economy and gold?
Reuters, by Vivianne Rodrigues, December 27, 2007Gold and bond prices rose on news of assassination of Pakistani leader . . .more...
Will Iran's Islamic extremist leader pursue atomic weapons at all costs?
Reuters, by Paisa Hafezi, November 30, 2007Iran vowed to pursue its disputed atomic program come what may . . .more...
Will the Fed cause a recession to save the Dollar?
The Economist, November 29, 2007New fear now stalks the markets: Dollar's slide could spin out of control . . .more...
What does $90 oil mean for gold?
Dow Theory Letters, October 18, 2007If the relationship was to go to the average gold would be nearer to . . .more...
Will the Fed have to inflate to soften the worst financial crisis since the great depression?
Financial Times, September 19, 2007The collapse of home prices might turn out to be the most severe since . . .more...
Is there commodity inflation to spur gold and silver?
Financial Times, September 12, 2007The jump in oil prices cames as other commodities hit all-time highs . . .more...
Will central banks inflate the money supply to try to solve the present global economic crisis?
Financial Times, September 6, 2007The European Central Bank on Thursday injected €42.2bn into euro money markets . . .more...
Could escalating oil prices fuel inflation?
Bloomberg, July 23, 2007We're only a headline of significance away from $100 oil . . .more...
Is the US still at imminent risk of al-Qaeda terrorism?
Financial Times, July 18, 2007We are facing a persistent terrorist enemy led by al-Qaeda that remains . . .more...
Will it be common to see the price of oil exceeding $70?
Reuters, June 6, 2007Oil prices extended gains above $71 a barrel on Thursday . . .more...
What are the chances for political stability in Iraq?
Financial Times, April 12, 2007A suicide bomber killed three Iraqi lawmakers and wounded dozens of other people . . .more...
Does the conflict in Iran present growing economic uncertainty?
Reuters, April 3, 2007Something will eventually have to give in the current crisis, and when it does, we could . . .more...
Is there growing instability for world oil prices?
Financial Times, March 26, 2007Oil broke through $64 a barrel on Monday, setting a fresh 2007 record . . .more...
Will America's massive sub-prime real estate loans collapse to cripple the economy?
Financial Times, February 13, 2007Investor worries over loans made to US borrowers with weak credit histories have grown since . . .more...
Will OPEC cut oil production?
The Wall Street Journal, January 31, 2007Saudi Arabia . . . plans to cut 158,000 barrels of oil production a day starting tomorrow . . .more...
Can gold hold over $600 in the face of lower oil prices?
Financial Times, November 17, 2006The weakness in oil prices put gold under pressure with bullion retreating . . .more...
Why is evidence of a weakening economy pushing gold higher?
Jim Sinclair's MineSet, November 1, 2006Gold is going to $682 and may well make a new high before another serious reaction . . .more...
Are gold and black gold prices related?
Financial Times, October 7, 2006"It is a surprise that gold's relationship with oil is stronger at the moment than . . . "more...
At what level should OPEC support oil prices?
Barron's, October 9, 2006Some of the more bearish voices in the oil markets are starting to talk about oil falling to . . .more...
Will South Korea's nuclear testing trigger a nuclear arms race in the region?
The Economist, October 9, 2006North Korea exploded a nuclear device on Monday October 9th deep under a . . .more...
How have suppressed oil prices affected the gold market?
Bloomberg, October 4, 2006Gold, little changed in New York, may rise as rebounding oil prices boost the appeal . . .more...
What is the low end of the oil range now?
Reuters, September 8, 2006Crude fell as low as $66.99 a barrel as supply concerns eased after U.S. distillate supplies . . .more...
Is there any end in sight for the war on terrorism?
The Economist, August 11, 2006British Police: "It would have resulted in 'mass murder on an unimaginable scale'"more...
Are higher oil prices expected?
Financial Times, July 31, 2006Oil prices reversed their early losses on Monday to post gains as hopes of a ceasefire . . .more...
Are higher oil prices here to stay?
Financial Times, June 7, 2006The balance of world oil supply and demand has become so precarious that even small acts of . . .more...
Why does $70 oil suggest $1,400 gold?
Dow Theory Letters, May 30, 2006I believe the current rising price of oil will be a bullish factor for gold . . .more...
Will equities be stable as economic health and the US Dollar drift downwards?
The Economist, May 17, 2006On Wednesday, after new data on consumer and producer-price inflation came in higher than . . .more...
What could the Iran crisis mean for gold?
Jim Sinclair's MineSet, May 3, 2006If the US, GB and the other usual suspects invoke economic sanctions against Iran . . .more...
Does Iran want even higher oil prices?
The Wall Street Journal, April 21, 2006Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said that record crude oil prices were still below . . .more...
Has the upward trend in oil prices resumed?
Financial Times, April 18, 2006IPE Brent for June delivery hit a record $72.20 a barrel before easing back to . . .more...
Where are we in the gold/silver generational bull market?
Jim Sinclair's MineSet, April 3, 2006It will move above $600 with a probable overrun of our magnet at . . .more...
Are Iraq and Iran bullish for gold?
Bloomberg, March 20, 2006Gold rose in Asia amid concern that the Iraq war and Iran's nuclear ambitions may disrupt . . .more...
Why do the current geopolitical conditions present potentially explosive gold prices?
Jim Sinclair's MineSet, January 23, 2006It should be kept firmly in mind that the gold-starved Muslin central banks are devoid of the . . .more...
Will the Iran nuclear crisis inflate oil prices and prove negative for equities?
Financial Times, January 17, 2006Iran has made threats to withhold supplies from the world market if there was international . . .more...
How should we forecast Middle East tensions this year?
Financial Times, January 5, 2006Coming a day after 58 people died in a wave of bombings and shootings, the latest bloodshed . . .more...
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